New artificial intelligence (A.I.) systems are rapidly surpassing human abilities in various domains like math, coding, and medical diagnosis. The development of artificial general intelligence (A.G.I.), which can perform most cognitive tasks like humans, is expected to happen soon, possibly by 2026 or 2027. A.G.I. could bring economic value and shift political and military power to nations that control it.
Most people and institutions are unprepared for the existing A.I., let alone more powerful A.G.I. systems. Governments and big corporations are investing heavily in A.I. technologies to gain a competitive edge. The fear of A.G.I. is growing within the A.I. industry itself, with top researchers and executives warning of the imminent arrival of powerful A.G.I. models.
Recent advancements in A.I. models and reasoning systems have shown significant improvement in tasks like problem-solving and complex reasoning. The use of A.I. in various industries, including white-collar knowledge work, is increasing, with some programmers reporting that A.I. now does most of the coding work.
The need to prepare for A.G.I. is emphasized, with suggestions for modernizing infrastructure, improving cybersecurity, and regulating A.I. technologies to prevent harm. Despite uncertainties about the exact timeline of A.G.I.’s arrival, it is believed that early preparation is crucial to ensure a smooth transition to a world dominated by powerful A.I. systems. A lack of preparation could lead to unforeseen consequences and missed opportunities to shape the future of A.I. technologies.
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