Former President Donald Trump is leaning on his survival of an assassination attempt in the home stretch of his third White House bid. Despite historical precedent showing that surviving an assassination attempt doesn’t offer much political benefit, Trump is incorporating the near-death experience into his campaign narrative. The rally Trump plans to hold in Butler, Pennsylvania, where he was shot, is intended to symbolize his perseverance and fighting spirit. Trump has mentioned the shooting in at least 31 of his public appearances since the incident. The imagery of Trump, bloodied but standing strong moments after the shooting, has become iconic within the MAGA movement. While many of Trump’s supporters view the shooting as part of a larger conspiracy against him, historical evidence suggests that surviving an assassination attempt doesn’t necessarily impact a candidate’s political fortunes. Despite Trump’s attempts to paint himself as a hero and a victim of political persecution, there is no evidence that the shooting will significantly influence the outcome of the election. Trump’s narrative surrounding the shooting is designed to highlight his strength and resilience, while also portraying himself as a victim of powerful forces working against him. The return to Butler is set to be a pivotal moment for Trump and his supporters, who view the incident as a defining moment in his campaign.
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